Hurricane Predictions

Many of our listeners probably don’t want to consider this with all that is going on right now. Hurricane season will be opening in about six weeks. Beginning June 1 a new hurricane season will be upon us. Forecasters are predicting an above-average probability of a major hurricane making landfall in the United States this year. Researchers at Colorado State University recently released their annual forecast for the 2020 hurricane season running from June 1 through November 30. According to their predictions for 2020, predications are that there will be 16 named tropical storms with eight reaching hurricane force. The Colorado State forecasters predict four of those storms could reach major storm status. That means sustained winds of at least 111 miles per hour are predicted. A major hurricane constitutes a Category 3 or higher on the, widely accepted,  Saffir-Simpson Scale. This year’s prediction compares to the 50-year median of 12 storms per year with 2.3 reaching category 3 or greater. The experts at Colorado State University say there is a 69 percent chance that at least one major hurricane will make landfall in the U.S. this year. That is higher than the 52 percent average for the last half-century. So, what about predictions for our area? These same experts predict the Gulf Coast - from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville in Texas – has a 44 percent chance of being struck by a major hurricane. The 50-year average is 30 percent. Once more, hurricane season begins June 1, and forecasters say this year’s hurricane season will be an above-average year. Experts remind coastal residents it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. With that in mind, forecasters at Colorado State University remind coastal residents to begin preparation. That does not qualify as something our area will look forward too.

With the coronavirus pandemic we are presently experiencing matched with an expected above average hurricane season it could be a tough summer.       

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